The Biden campaign is taking an aggressive approach to address negative narratives surrounding the prospects of his re-election campaign, employing their familiar tactic of sending memos to news organizations. This memo-driven culture was previously used to instruct the media to scrutinize House Republicans during an impeachment inquiry into President Joe Biden.
The latest challenge facing the Biden-Harris 2024 communications director, Michael Tyler, is the New York Times/Siena College poll. This poll revealed former President Trump leading President Biden in critical battleground states, prompting Tyler to reach out to the media to counter this narrative.
His memo aims to reshape the public conversation, emphasizing that political predictions made more than a year in advance often evolve over time. Citing historical examples, such as Gallup’s eight-point loss prediction for President Obama, which ultimately proved incorrect, and grim forecasts for President Biden a year before the 2022 midterms, Tyler urged the media to consider the broader context.
“In recent days, the New York Times/Siena College poll has gotten non-stop attention to the exclusion of nearly every other poll. But if you zoom out, you’ll see a more complete picture. There have been eight polls in the past three weeks showing President Biden leading or tied with Donald Trump,” stated Tyler.
In the backdrop of these efforts, discussions about the possibility of President Biden dropping out of the race for a second term have emerged, fueled in part by David Axelrod.
While some factions within the Democratic Party seek a younger candidate to replace Biden, the challenge lies in the significance of name recognition in presidential elections, particularly when competing against the well-known figure of Donald Trump, who had a strong public presence before his presidency.
In the words of Tyler, the argument for Biden’s re-election primarily revolves around his achievements. He points out that President Biden has a record of accomplishments that is more popular than any previous president running for re-election.
While it’s true that polls can be unreliable predictors, the key concern some have with Biden’s re-election bid is his age. They argue that he may be too old to effectively lead the country for another four years. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical instabilities, such as the Ukraine conflict and the Israel-Hamas war, which resulted in military interventions in Gaza, are factors that don’t work in Biden’s favour when compared to Trump’s term, which saw fewer international conflicts.
Tyler also underscored the fact that Biden garnered more votes than any other presidential candidate in US history during the 2020 election. He claims that Biden is the only individual who can defeat Trump.
“We have to really take these polls with a grain of salt,” Karine Jean-Pierre said at a press briefing. “We should really be very mindful here and one of the reasons why is just a year ago, back in 2022 there was the red wave that never materialized.”
The Biden campaign as well as the White House appears to understand that convincing voters hinges on getting the media to portray Biden as the best choice for America.
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